{"id":848,"date":"2020-04-16T16:26:11","date_gmt":"2020-04-16T16:26:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/?p=848"},"modified":"2020-04-16T16:25:55","modified_gmt":"2020-04-16T16:25:55","slug":"testing-for-covid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/?p=848","title":{"rendered":"Testing for Covid"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/quillette.com\/2020\/04\/14\/searching-for-a-covid-19-test-in-america\/\">https:\/\/quillette.com\/2020\/04\/14\/searching-for-a-covid-19-test-in-america\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The author describes the process involved in actively trying to get tested for the disease, given symptoms and history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The upshot is: we have some idea of the mortality figures for this disease in the US (although there are indications that there are many uncounted deaths of people who never make it into a hospital). We have a very much more approximate idea of infection rates, because we aren\u2019t testing people in a comprehensive way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Until these two numbers are nailed down within an acceptable range of error, and we can surgically test everyone following contact tracing paths on demand, relaxing the worst-case self-isolation instructions seems like a huge gamble with people\u2019s lives.  As a heuristic, I\u2019ve been assigning a confidence level based on the ratio of the two being in the range of 2% or so, based on mortality rates from other parts of the Western world and the more reliable mortality numbers.  I see no evidence that either of these numbers can be trusted for the foreseeable future, so I don\u2019t expect to be out of self-isolation anytime soon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>https:\/\/quillette.com\/2020\/04\/14\/searching-for-a-covid-19-test-in-america\/ The author describes the process involved in actively trying to get tested for the disease, given symptoms and history. The upshot is: we have some idea of the mortality figures for this disease in the US (although there are indications that there are many uncounted deaths of people who never make it into a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=848"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":849,"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848\/revisions\/849"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=848"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=848"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ifmbanm.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=848"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}